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Andrew Newman's avatar

The types of analysis you’re looking for sound like they’d benefit from writing a custom skill. I imagine any skill for foreign policy should establish a basic landscape of information and what level of verification we want.

Jack Shanahan's avatar

Now put this capability in the hands of a government intel analyst (in either country) who does not have nearly the same level of expertise and cultural awareness of anybody at ChinaTalk, and it's not hard to project very bad outcomes. Between "average of averages," janky single-source references, poison fountains, various other deliberate efforts to corrupt data and sourcing, lack of training on the capability, etc. etc., you have a recipe for disaster. That's not a pre-ordained future. It just means education & training (plus human judgment) become more important than ever, along with demanding the same level of analytic rigor people expected in the pre-AI days.

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