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She said Xi Said's avatar

This is very interesting but times and missile technology have changed considerably. China’s calculation is that if it can successfully blockade the island with ships and missiles, it won’t have to fight inch-by-inch on land.

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Mike Casey's avatar

Awesome research. However, it's important to emphasize here that we're talking about deterring an invasion. Deterring a blockade or joint firepower strike campaign and responding to Chinese grey zone operations is another matter entirely and arguably requires some conventional systems. Getting the balance right is the key strategic question. https://ordersandobservations.substack.com/

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